Nicholas Eberstadt warns of the coming population time-bomb, where most of the world is below replacement fertility rate and family duties are increasingly outsourced to the state.
————————————————————————————————————–
Conversations feature John Anderson, former Deputy Prime Minister of Australia, interviewing the world’s foremost thought leaders about today’s pressing social, cultural and political issues.
John believes proper, robust dialogue is necessary if we are to maintain our social strength and cohesion. As he puts it; “You cannot get good public policy out of a bad public debate.”
If you value this discussion and want to see more like it, make sure you subscribe to the channel here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCtnYSEGViOnb7k8ezUaWUww?sub_confirmation=1
And stay right up to date with all the conversations by subscribing to the newsletter here: https://johnanderson.net.au/contact/
Follow John on Twitter: https://twitter.com/JohnAndersonAC
Follow John on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/johnandersonac
Follow John on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/johnandersonac/
Support the channel: https://johnanderson.net.au/support/
Website: https://johnanderson.net.au/
Podcast: https://johnanderson.net.au/podcasts/
————————————————————————————————————–
Nicholas Eberstadt: https://www.aei.org/profile/nicholas-eberstadt/?__cf_chl_tk=Wv7vuC7YjraJN.QfPUECQP66X8ouJle8Ak73f5QEqzY-1677560463-0-gaNycGzNCqU
De-population is a good thing.The world is massively overpopulated we can't keep pumping out more and more people continuously.There will be economic challenges with this but governments and individuals need to prepare for this instead of hoping the issue goes away.
Think how much better life for people in Africa would be if there populations levels today were the same as where they were in the 1960's the challenges they face wouldn't be as severe because there would be less people to feed.
Economists only look at depopulation from their economic perspective rather than having the broader view of how much better in so many other ways it is for the world.
Finally someone speaks about this
3+ to be above replacement. Get to work.
It’s abundantly clear that people want to hide this issue especially in the West and in Australia.
Population replacement
But at least I can keep my house
This may be a GOOD THING… there are already too many people around and too make woke people to get rid of and STAAT AGAIN heh..
"Cheer UP folks, We will soon All be dead"😉☺️
Looks like babies will be made in factories in artificial wombs in the future
Families aren't stable or being made, and many women aren't having children until they are geriatric mothers….
Bare I mind, keeping women in school through their 20s (in university) is preventing families
Not good. Even more not good is that the cultures that produced all the good stuff are so demoralised that they are failing to replace to a larger scale. On the large scale though, the planet on current technology has a carrying capacity of 2 Bn for a US level of consumption or 4 Bn for an EU level of consumption. We absolutely need to get to one of these numbers or in between, but we need to do it in a rational, and humane way that causes the least harm.
all part of the W(EF / WHO plan)
Is this down to our governments ??? They are so authoritarian now we, the people do not feel "supported" or "loved" by the governments who just seem to want to destroy our lives by taking all "our money" for themselves ???
I don't understand why there's on one side the politics in the mainstream culture against having kids, "the planet's overpopulated" "humans destroying climate", all the politics against child-bearing such as abortion ekhem, 'rights', the mentality to postpone having family and kids, and so on, while on the other hand there's the opposite that we're on the verge of economical and social system collapse due to low fertility rates.
Like, what's with this bipolar messaging of the mainstream culture and politics? What's going on?
This is the BEST news I have seen so far this year! Haven't we RAVAGED this planet enough? We deserve to GO.
Blame the injectible that was safe and effective.
Sobering
there is no more room. in florida. And they still build. Bull; replacement fertility are you kidding? your a coooky prof arnt you
We do not need more people, and we do not need to replace the ones we have, and the 25% of the peoples on Earth whose populations are not declining aren't the ones you would want more of if you could choose. If, instead of hand wringing about the fate of humanity you worried about the fate of life on Earth, the conclusions are pretty clear.
The problem when you build a vast complex machine and then keep adding to it is that you need an army of people to maintain and sustain it. The massive and sudden shrinkage in population means that the infrastructure and institutions will collapse. The move towards ever bigger government and socialism means that the inevitable end will come sooner rather than later.
Taking a look at some of the other animal species out there populations in which predators have been largely removed and food is available, they tend to self limit their populations. The stressors of population density actually causes mating, changes. Fecundity, care for young and so on. I guess that something like that is going on in cities around the world. It could be physiological, I don't know, cultural certainly, technological certainly with the availability of birth control. The question is is this a bad thing? Where it is a bad thing is in our economic system based on constant growth. If your company is not growing or worse if it is getting smaller it is called dying or failing. We have designed a system in which the elderly demand to be card for by the young so we need more than one working age person to support one elderly person. The economy is a consumer driven one. We are all customers. Christmas is a celebration of consumerism. A good Christmas is one in which sales were greater than the year before. In the end that model was doomed to fail and it is now failing. Just my opinion.
Still waiting for Paul Ehrlich to write a sequel to his “Population Bomb” explaining where he got it wrong.
What’s crazy is this is happening b/c THE 1% of HUMAN POPULATION HAVE POISONED EVERYTHING ON THIS PLANET SO THEY CAN HAVE THE BEST TOYS!!!! WHEN R WE THE 99 GONNA TAKE OUR WORLD BACK????????
on the women side it's the consequence of education (women can easily sustain themselves without a man in their life).
urbanisation allows them to have any service they want (like hard labor type of things around the house), without a man in their life.
and finally the pill gives them control of their reproductive function.
on the men side, males no longer have a clearly defined goal or purpose, because women no longer need them as a bread winners, lack of purpose produce very weak men, me too movement and fatherless families don't help either.
They were dead wrong about overpopulation (like Elrich) in the 60s and 70s. Now they have everyone utterly convinced the world is going to end through climate change. They are just as wrong about climate change as they were about the population and it is pathetic that people listen to these goons. If you believe in God you realize that God is smarter than we ever could be, and there are naturally built in mechanisms (natural feedback loops) that bring things back to balance when they get out of whack. We don't have to worry about playing God, God can do that role just fine.
We have a world with finite resources and a species like a plague and we are worried about the population shrinking. We need to shrink to be able to sustain life on this planet as a whole biologically we are far from ever becoming extinct but our growth continues to threaten everything.
Meanwhile, Western governments appear oblivious to this and are obsessed with CO2 emissions. Don't worry. Emissions will tend down along with our population.
That is all great news and no need for anyone to worry about it!
The latest six or seven additional billions of us have been so devastating, the current 'sixth great extinction' of flora and fauna is a direct result!
The sooner we get back down to below three billion, the better, no matter some small inconveniences on the way.
Stabilizing at a population of one to three billion is viable in the long run but not above.
Even climate change will be a minor problem at that level!
“Terra incognita” is right. On top of all the factors spoken of here, the #1 cause of death in people under 21 in the USA is suicide and has been for many years. Milton Friedman repeatedly said what should be common sense but is no longer regarded as such, which is that people themselves are the most valuable resource. Now the younger demographic are taught that humans are a plague. Oikophobia is rampant and if young people don’t think we “deserve” our own homeland or they adhere to environmentalism as a religion then they will not have children. They do not value human life as such.
The rich and powerful don't want us to reproduce so they will make it harder and harder.
Population decline is a good thing. No marriage and kids from me!! Sorry big business, don't look to me if you want someone to provide you with consumers and wage slaves. Look elsewhere to some other hyper patriotic idiot that waves the flag and has 3 or 4 kids.
Sadly, non of the Muslim countries are facing this!
Let this sink in 🤮🤮🤮
Surely the replacement level is what it will be – what people will be comfortable with – what they can support with the lifestyle they want
I hope the world learns positive lessons on what not to do to a population. I think the consequences of their 1 child program will be devastating to them.
Industrialization is the cause of this…when you move off the farm and into the city you have fewer kids
Population decline is good to a degree. The world population of about the 1950's was comfortable in regard to living space. However, that is different to wealth distribution.
The issue now is that we have a growing political class which needs to be funded by the drones of society. Where we need a significant reduction is in the political and talking class. They are largely non-productive. When they talk about replacement, they are discussing the need for more workers to fund the political and talking classes.
The wealth devide is growing unless the political and talking class is reduced. "Stable population" is debatable , because we need to look in more detail at wealth distribution.
According to the consensus of demographers China population is staring to decrease slowly and would end up 550 millions in 2100.
That is almost 80 years away.
I would question the word depopulation bomb to characterize the change in population of China, and everywhere else for that matter.
Just two decades ago, we worried that the world would run out of food because the population boom. It did not happen.
Natural depopulation is a good thing, it should be welcomed and celebrated.
If the demographers are right, the world is a much better place to live in 2100.
When you think about which demographic will inherit this planet in the not too distant future you will have nightmares.
The planet breathes a huge sigh of relief thinking of the potential population decline. The notion that population should grow infinitely is an absurdity. If economics can't survive stagnant population or a gradual decline, then that is a problem of your economic system. If we lost 5/8 of the people on the globe, you'd go back to where we were in the 1950s or so. If you lost 99% of the people, you'd go back to biblical times. I have no doubt that population could rebuild itself no matter how low it went.
When economics forced women into the workplace to make ends meet, they created the population decline.
First the media tried to scare us with over-population – now its under-population. Can you lot make up your minds…jaysaz…..
Where did they get these statistics? Population in third world is booming.
Capitalism is going well.
I am for a slow depopulation. I think it will result in a better life for us and for everything else we share this planet with. I didn't have children, but my siblings had plenty, maybe not quite replacement but ok. However my nieces and nephews along with all the other people of their generation I know of, are not having children at all. This has the potential to be devastating. Our society will not be able to cope with this dramatic decrease. People need to be secure and have a good environment to have children. We need to step up and make it so.
In the future, societies that are successful will be those that attract immigrants as a result of being stable, offering opportunity, providing freedoms, and having supports for those early and late in life. Totalitarian and corrupt regimes will just dwindle.
World population by 2100 will probably be 4 or 5 billion
It will be catastrophic, but only from a financial perspective.
The pill introduced in 60', abortion legalized.
“Well, Bye”- Curly Bill
WEF/WHO/UN will be delighted with this report. My children were taught in grade school that the world is overpopulated. I pointed out that there weren't too many people, but that they congregate in big crowded cities while leaving undeveloped land for corporations to buy.