In estimates I asked the ABS the reasons for the jump in excess deaths. They tried to play it down of course by saying that an increase in the older age group was expected. The increase in deaths for the older age group is over 10%. It is clearly not demographic changes.
As the attached link points out the jump in 2021 deaths over the 5-year average was three standard deviations from the mean. Even after adjusting for population growth, this is still a massive jump in deaths.
The silence is deafening. And I quote:
“Looking at another page of the ABS website, it reports that there were 171,469 deaths registered in 2021, an increase of 10,169 from 2020 (161,300)……. a standard deviation for this data set from 2015-2020, which gives me a standard deviation of 3031.
The average for 2015-2020 is 161,324. We therefore expect that 95% of the data should fall between the mean plus/minus 2 standard deviations and 99.7% of the data will fall between the mean plus/minus 3 standard deviations under a normal distribution …This means that the number of deaths in 2021 is statistically higher, in fact the excess death if you simply compare it to the average rate of deaths is up 6.58% in 2021!!”